TY - GEN
T1 - System dynamic model for the prediction of urban energy consumption trends
AU - Fong, Wee Kean
AU - Matsumoto, Hiroshi
AU - Lun, Yu Fat
AU - Kimura, Ryushi
N1 - Copyright:
Copyright 2012 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2007
Y1 - 2007
N2 - With the increasing concerns on the issues of global warming, urban heat island and depletion of fossil fuels, energy saving effort is getting more and more important, particularly in the city context. Although there are a number of sectoral energy related studies, comprehensive overview of the overall energy use in cities is still not well understood. The purpose of this work is thus to study the urban energy consumption trends based on an integrated approach, using the System Dynamic model. The objectives of this study are to investigate the urban energy consumption trends, over a period of 50 years, under different urban growth scenarios, subsequently to understand the driving force and key elements of urban energy consumption, and finally to prioritize the future directions in urban energy saving researches. The adopted model was divided into four sub-models i.e. residential, commercial, industrial and transportation sub-models. The study found that economic growth rate and industrial energy consumption rate are the key elements in minimizing urban energy consumption toward sustainability. In addition, the result of this study indicated that lifestyle is vital to be taken into consideration as it is costless compared to other measures such as technology improvement, mass public transit system, etc. that require huge long-term investments.
AB - With the increasing concerns on the issues of global warming, urban heat island and depletion of fossil fuels, energy saving effort is getting more and more important, particularly in the city context. Although there are a number of sectoral energy related studies, comprehensive overview of the overall energy use in cities is still not well understood. The purpose of this work is thus to study the urban energy consumption trends based on an integrated approach, using the System Dynamic model. The objectives of this study are to investigate the urban energy consumption trends, over a period of 50 years, under different urban growth scenarios, subsequently to understand the driving force and key elements of urban energy consumption, and finally to prioritize the future directions in urban energy saving researches. The adopted model was divided into four sub-models i.e. residential, commercial, industrial and transportation sub-models. The study found that economic growth rate and industrial energy consumption rate are the key elements in minimizing urban energy consumption toward sustainability. In addition, the result of this study indicated that lifestyle is vital to be taken into consideration as it is costless compared to other measures such as technology improvement, mass public transit system, etc. that require huge long-term investments.
KW - System dynamic model
KW - Urban energy consumption
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84857354103&partnerID=8YFLogxK
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84857354103
SN - 9784861630705
T3 - IAQVEC 2007 Proceedings - 6th International Conference on Indoor Air Quality, Ventilation and Energy Conservation in Buildings: Sustainable Built Environment
SP - 757
EP - 764
BT - IAQVEC 2007 Proceedings - 6th International Conference on Indoor Air Quality, Ventilation and Energy Conservation in Buildings
T2 - 6th International Conference on Indoor Air Quality, Ventilation and Energy Conservation in Buildings: Sustainable Built Environment, IAQVEC 2007
Y2 - 28 October 2007 through 31 October 2007
ER -
