The trapped dragon: a province-by-province analysis of the middle-income trap in China

Bala Ramasamy, Jiarui Zhang, Alan K. M. Au, Matthew Yeung

Research output: Journal PublicationArticlepeer-review

Abstract

China has been a prime candidate in the study of the middle-income trap (MIT), with inconclusive results. In this article, we pursue the question at a provincial level, and identify those provinces that are, or will be, trapped and those that have escaped. The 10 provinces identified as trapped are: Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, Liaoning, Jilin, Shaan’xi, Qinghai, Xinjiang, Heilongjiang, Gansu and Hebei. Productivity is found to be the most obvious reason behind a trapped province.
Original languageEnglish
Article number27000075
Pages (from-to)5-32
Number of pages28
JournalAgenda - A Journal of Policy Analysis and Reform
Volume27
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - 2020

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